The complexity of a complex system

The last few months has been a full on presidential election campaign here in Malawi. There are around 12 presidential candidates, one of whom is the incumbent, Joyce Banda. Voting took place this last Tuesday, 20th May.  More than one African friend has expressed concern that such elections are an imposed system, and that the results do not warrant the process.

Politics is far from being the only known unknown

Politics is far from being the only known unknown. With climate change, the sign might fall over.

About three weeks ago an email went around Concern Universal advising all staff that the Tuesday was a public holiday, and that the office would also be closed on Wednesday. Staff were though encouraged to take off the whole week as part of their holidays. Monday 19th was a quiet day, though there was a palpable sense of anticipation around town. The traffic that evening was the worst I’ve seen it, verging on gridlock. The lady who takes cheese orders on a Tuesday and delivers on a Thursday sent a text to say she was going to deliver a day early this week. On Tuesday (polling day) there were some disturbances in an area about 5km from us due to administrative foul ups at the polling booths. A place near to an AVI persons workplace was stoned, and thus they decided to shut up business for the week.  Wednesday was calm, likewise this Thursday morning. The visiting Australian Commissioner sends an email inviting any AVI people in town to a catch up.

Last night one of the leading candidates house was raided with allegations of electoral fraud being raised. The newspaper headlines say the result is 50-50. Concern Universal is open again, and we planned to return to work, however AVI have instructed us to remain at the house. Apparently a press conference is due to be called at any time and the results announced. There is plenty of speculation as to what might be the outcome of whatever announcement is made, but with so many intangibles and indeterminates, nobody knows. It all reminds me of being in Victoria on a Code Red day, the only certainty is that something might happen.

Impact Reporting

My big project for the next 6 months is to develop the Concern Universal 2014 Impact Report. The purpose of most aid programs is to ‘make an impact’, and CU Malawi is one of the few NGO’s aiming to publish an Impact Report on a regular basis. The impact referred to being a change in the broader system, not a large hole in the ground as from a meteorite.

A new (to me) concept being used in the aid industry is the idea of having a ‘Theory of Change’. My impression is that this has superseded LogFrames to describe the link between what can be physically done (outputs) and the intended outcomes (or impact) in many programs. Thus my personal ‘Theory of Change’ is that positive effects in the broader system occur when individuals work together to solve tangible problems (1). This is augmented by the many others who have researched and written on the technicalities of how to help people work better together when finding solutions to common problems (2).

Putting in a bore & pump is the easy bit. What is harder is ensuring that people can access it, that there is a management committee of those that use it, that they can raise money for spare parts, that spare parts are available etc. etc.

Putting in a bore & pump is the easy bit. What is harder is ensuring that people can access it, that there is a management committee of those that use it, that they can raise money for spare parts, that spare parts are available etc. etc.

 

A  ‘Theory of Change’ that seems prevalent with many aid donors in Malawi is that WASH (Water Sanitation & Hygiene) programs have a positive impact on the broader system. This is based on considerable evidence that improved water, sanitation & hygiene practice (not surprisingly) contributes to improved community health (3). Unfortunately ‘impact’ is dependent on the many variables of a complex system.

Some donors require a large range of ‘indicators’ of impact, which might be as many as 70 questions that have to be reported on monthly throughout the length of the project. An example being “Reduction  in  reported  cases  on waterborne  diseases (cholera, diarrhoea  and dysentery)’ measured by “#  of  waterborne  diseases  reported cases”. Another being  “students with access to an adequate number of school hand washing facilities with soap” measured monthly by “#  of  additional students with access to an adequate number of school hand washing facilities with soap”. Others take a different approach, maintaining that the linkage is a given and that due to the high number of confounding factors within each individual case of improved health, monitoring this aspect is not cost effective. Some donors require nothing more than a record of the number of water points created, whilst others focus on measuring sustainability indicators, such as water point management structures, financial management capabilities, maintenance, access to repair services, and spare parts.

To report on the ‘impact’ of the work by Concern Universal (who currently implement seven different donors WASH projects, all with different indicators) is in itself complex. Thus my intended approach is to engage the CU WASH teams in a workshop process that draws on their collective data, the processes they use in implementing the projects, their understanding of ‘what works’ and document stories of success and failure. We will then use this data to compile a broad picture of CU’s impact in WASH. Stay tuned!

1: Rittell, H & Webber, M 1973, ‘Dilemmas in a general theory of planning’, Policy Sciences, vol. 4.

2: Butcher, M 2001, ‘LogFrames Made Easy’, PLA Notes, no. 41.

Department of Sustainability and Environment 2005, Effective Engagement: Building Relationships with Community and Other Stakeholders, 3 vols., The Community Engagement Project, Resources and Regional Services Division, Victorian Government Department of Sustainability and Environment, Melbourne.

Dick, B 1991, Helping Groups to be Effective, 2 edn, Interchange, Chapel Hill.

Kaner, S 1996, Facilitator’s Guide to Participatory Decision-Making, 11 edn, New Society Publishers, Gabriola Island.

NSW Premiers Department 2006, Strengthening Rural Communities Resource Kit, pdf version edn, NSW Government, Sydney.

Pretty, J, Guijt, I, Thompson, J & Scoones, I 1995, Participatory Learning and Action : A Trainers Guide, IIED Participatory Methodology Series, International Institute for Environment and Development, London.

Rosenberg, M 2003, Nonviolent Communication: A Language of Life, 2 edn, Puddledancer Press

Schwartz, R 2002, The skilled facilitator, 2 edn, Jossey-Bass.

Southern Cross University 2003, Action Research Resources, Southern Cross University, viewed 04 03 2006 2006, <http://www.scu.edu.au/schools/gcm/ar/arp/arphome.html>.

Stanfield, B 1997, The Art of Focused Conversation, The Canadian Institute of Cultural Affairs (ICA Canada).

—- 2002, The Workshop Book: from Individual Creativity to Group Action, New Society Publishers and The Canadian Institute of Cultural Affairs, Gabriola Island.

United Nations Centre for Human Settlements (Habitat) 2001, Tools to Support Participatory Urban Decision Making.

Williams, RB 1996, More Than 50 Ways to Build Team Consensus, Hawker Brownlow.

World Bank 1996, The World Bank Participation Source Book, Adobe Acrobat PDF Version edn, World Bank, Washington, D.C.

3: Esrey,S 1985,1991; Fewtrell 2005; Clasen et al. 2009,2010, Waddington 2009; Norman et al. 2010

 

Easter Break

I swear that there was no more than a couple of times in which I could not see anybody on the 560km drive we took up the lake road.

I swear that there was no more than a couple of times in which I could not see anybody on the 560km drive we took up the lake road. It made for hard work driving.

 

Roadside mosque. The Arab slave traders operating on the lake have left the area predominantly Muslim

Roadside mosque. The Arab slave traders operating on the lake have left the area predominantly Muslim

The showroom at the Mua Missionary Hospital Cultural Centre. An amazing & somewhat eccentric place. We couldn't find the cafe and we suspect there wasn't one,

The showroom at the Mua Missionary Hospital Cultural Centre. An amazing & somewhat eccentric place. We couldn’t find the cafe and we suspect there wasn’t one.

Lunch break at Nkhotakota Pottery. Stops have to be well planned as they are few and far between.

Lunch break at Nkhotakota Pottery. Stops have to be well planned as they are few and far between.

 

Detail of table top. Party time.

Detail of table top. Party time.

The bar at Mayoka Village lodge at Nkhata Bay. It was a bit back-packery for us, erratic everything (water,food,electricity,access) but kinda fun.

The bar at Mayoka Village lodge at Nkhata Bay. It was a bit back-packery for us, erratic everything (water,food,electricity,access) but kinda fun.

 

Shipwrecked on the male washing beach in Nkhata Bay. Long story.

Shipwrecked on the male washing beach in Nkhata Bay. Long story.

 

A wonderful one man band entertainer. We think the drum was a covered car tyre. Unfortunately the CD we bought from him didn't work.

A wonderful one man band entertainer. We think the drum was a covered car tyre. Unfortunately the CD we bought from him didn’t work.

Something of an oxymoron I thought.

Something of an oxymoron I thought.

Buying baskets on the way back. No such confusion here.

Buying baskets on the way back. No such confusion here.

We returned through Msuza and stayed with friends in Lilongwe. It allowed us to have lunch at Dedza pottery on the way home. A few plates were of course bought.

We returned through Msuza and stayed with friends in Lilongwe. It allowed us to have lunch at Dedza pottery on the way home. A few pieces were of course bought. 

 

Mainstreaming

‘Mainstreaming’ – a term that I had not come across before arriving at CU in Malawi. Over the last ten years there has been a variety of projects and programs promoted by the donor agencies to address the ‘flavour of the month’ issue. These include human rights, environmental sustainability, gender equality and HIV awareness. Initially funded as separate ‘one off’ target programs these ‘new paradigm’ issues are now integrated (or mainstreamed) into other projects and programs.
My colleague Thokozani, who is responsible for mainstreaming ‘euality’ had arranged to run a 3 1/2 day session as part of the Capacity Building for Sugar Outgrowers project. This EU/Solidaridad funded project is designed to increase the capacity of small scale sugar producers and the sugar industry in general. I was flattered when she asked me to assist design the running sheet. Whilst she was confident about delivering a whole variety of different ways to achieve her goals, I have to admit to being a little skeptical about her actually delivering them when the time came. Oh one of little faith!

Participants exploring how they interact with others of different social rank using Sivasailam Thiagarajans playing card role play activity.

Participants exploring how they interact with others of different social rank using Sivasailam Thiagarajans playing card role play activity.

When reporting back on the workshop she was excited about how it had all gone, and how engaged the participants were. Some of the techniques she used were:

  • A ‘lit review’ for the group to define ‘equality’ (their answer ‘Equal participation and access by all’)
  • A ‘poster process’ to explore Human Rights.
  • The DEPI designed ‘bi-focal’ in which first the men, then the women spoke about what it was like to be that gender in the sugar industry.
  • The Sivasailam Thiagarajan role play activity where participants have to ‘wear’ a playing card (KQJ 10-6 randomly dealt) and treat each other according to their rank.
  • Conversation cards to help discussion on furthering equality in the industry.
  • Finally, a comprehensive action plan to overcome blockages to equality in the sugar industry
Participants in turn discussing what it's like to be male/female in the sugar industry using the DEPI bi-focal process

The women discussing what it’s like to be female in the sugar industry, while the men listen, using the DEPI bi-focal process

I regret not being able to be at the workshop, but am looking forward to working further with her.

Newsletters from the Future

Mona Lisa Bandawe and I have recently run the Mid Term Learning Review workshop for the DFAT funded Mphuka Shared Futures Project. This Participants were from Concern Universal, the Govt. of Malawi and Community leaders.

Card storm of 'underlying blockages to the vision'.

Card storm of ‘underlying blockages to the vision’.

After looking at the state of the project to date, we ran a guided visualisation session, followed by (integrated with) a ‘newsletter from the future’ activity. With about 22 participants there were five groups that developed the newsletters (3 in English, 2 in Chichewe*). We gave a start to the newsletter that read:

“After hearing about the UN award for being the most liveable area in Malawi, I visited Thyolo last week to see for myself what it was all about. Honestly, I was amazed at the transformation since I worked there, I saw….”

………a well dressed, well nourished elderly woman walking majestically long the better road. Far behind her were her grand children coming from a well built secondary school and they were all walking towards their iron roofed house surrounded by a granary full of harvested maize, improved sanitary facilities, goat and pig kraals full of livestock and just 200m there was a borehole. All the hills of Mphuka were covered by trees and the ecology and been reverted to it’s natural state with happy people benefiting from forest products e.g.: honey.

……..aged people and youngsters who were looking healthy and well nourished and their dressing sent a message about people who are now outside the poverty trap. New school buildings and other structures were seen from a distance appearing as a busy trading centre with electricity. As I was passing through the village I saw a lot of iron and thatched houses with satellite dishes here and there.

…….TA Mphuka transformed into a a well developed area. There is 100% water supply coverage and the economic wellbeing of the people. There was a good rural road network for easy travel.

I heard stories about……

………how there was high self dependency & good partnerships happening in T/A (Traditional Authority) Mphuka

  • A CBO (Community Based Organisation) revolving fund accessed by the community
  • A livestock pass-on program working efficiently
  • Established advocacy and GBV (Gender Based Violence) committees.

……..a lot of pupils going to school and that there is compulsory primary education as there are now by-laws put in place. I also heard stories that where I saw a trading centre was a place that used to be Mylenga CBO but it has developed to become a local NGO and other rooms built by them are used as shops and local saloons.  I heard that most families are living peacefully and gender based violence is a thing of the past.

I felt proud that what used to be a poor Mphuka area is now a developed area where people are food secure, practicing all year round agriculture due to irrigation.

…… the CBO’s having grown into local NGO’s and the network coordinator is now a councillor, representing the people of his area and has recently been elected chairman of Thyolo council.  I also heard of 30 families formerly involved in gender based violence had bought motorcycles and were working to help other families change. They are role models of T/A (Traditional Authority) Mphuka. Almost 50% of the CBO’s have qualified and have Diplomas in Accounting. Every household in T/A Mphuka is using energy efficient stoves and the neighbouring T/A’s have emulated the good practice in T/A Mphuka.

I have been told that the two written in Chichewe were along similar lines to the above.

When in Vietnam last year I was impressed by the well built and maintained road network designed for bikes & pedestrians.

When in Vietnam last year I was impressed by the well built and maintained road network designed for bikes & pedestrians.

*English is a second language for all participants.